The ongoing debate among economists regarding Federal Reserve policy on inflation has only become more intense as recent numbers show that prices are rising, but at a slower rate than expected. Jobless claims have been good and unemployment is falling, but there is a fear that an increase in wages could lead to a “wage-price spiral” which could result in job losses for certain groups who are already struggling.
At present, it appears as though workers can expect a 4.6% wage increase in 2023; however, this may not be enough to overcome inflation, meaning that workers will receive less real income than they did before, even with the pay increase. This trend could disproportionately affect those on low incomes and economically disadvantaged groups the most.
It has been suggested that the Covid-19 stimulus checks are one of the causes of higher inflation rates; this makes it especially challenging for those who rely on assistance to meet their basic needs, such as rent and food bills. The Fed is expecting an increase in unemployment next year due to rate hikes, which could create further hardship for these same economically deprived groups without any additional resources or support from state or federal government agencies.
It is clear that the current situation calls for careful consideration from Federal Reserve officials when deciding how best to handle inflationary pressures over the coming years. If low-income earners and economically disadvantaged individuals are not provided with adequate support or protection from rising costs of living then we could see a continuation of poverty cycles across all sectors of society. To ensure that everyone can benefit from any economic growth and rising wages, policymakers need to closely examine the impact of their decisions on all members of society – both now and in the future.