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Tesla’s Strategic Shift Sparks Wall Street Concerns Over its Future

Tesla’s recent strategic pivot from its planned low-cost Model 2 vehicle to focusing on autonomous robotaxis has Wall Street reevaluating the electric vehicle giant’s future prospects. This significant shift in strategy has prompted a series of downgrades from major financial analysts, raising concerns about Tesla’s long-term growth trajectory and market position.

Deutsche Bank Downgrades Tesla

In a notable reaction, Deutsche Bank analyst Emmanuel Rosner has significantly downgraded Tesla’s stock from “Buy” to “Hold” and slashed the price target from $189 to $123. This represents a potential downside of approximately 19% from current levels. Rosner described Tesla’s shift as “thesis-changing,” highlighting the immense technological, regulatory, and operational challenges involved in achieving full driverless autonomy. He warned that the postponement of the Model 2 could exert substantial earnings pressure beyond 2026, potentially jeopardizing the company’s future if it fails to break through in autonomous driving technology.

Impact on Tesla’s Market Valuation

Tesla’s stock reacted negatively to these updates, dropping 2% in early trading and continuing a 40% decline year-to-date. The analyst expressed concerns that Tesla’s move could force a painful transition in its shareholder base. Traditional investors, attracted by Tesla’s promise in the EV market, might exit in favor of AI and tech-focused investors, drawn by the long-term potential of autonomous driving technologies.

Barclays and Wedbush Echo Concerns

Barclays analyst Dan Levy also cut his price target for Tesla by 20%, citing the upcoming earnings call as a potential negative catalyst. He pointed out that moving away from the Model 2 could cast significant doubt on Tesla’s future, particularly if the company’s success hinges on high-stakes, binary outcomes.

Similarly, Wedbush analyst Dan Ives, a long-time Tesla bull, expressed reservations about abandoning the Model 2 in favor of a risky bet on robotaxis. Ives emphasized that such a move could be disastrous, marking a “debacle negative” for Tesla’s narrative. He stressed the necessity for Tesla to stick to its Model 2 plans to mitigate this year’s sharp decline in stock value.

A Critical Juncture for Tesla

These developments suggest that Tesla is at a critical juncture. The upcoming earnings call is highly anticipated, potentially setting the stage for future strategies. Wall Street’s reaction underscores the gravity of Tesla’s pivot and the implications it holds not just for the company but for the broader EV market. Investors and industry watchers are now keyed into how Elon Musk will address these challenges and reassure stakeholders about Tesla’s strategic direction and operational priorities.

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